BSC maintains recommendation for GVR stock with a target price of VND 23,624 (upside 18%) based on a partial valuation method with profits mainly coming from (1) rubber, timber, (2) industrial parks. and (3) divestment. We adjust our target price compared to the old report due to the update of GVR's new projections and profit from divestment.
Forecast of business performance
We forecast that, in 2020, GVR's revenue will reach VND 19,610 billion (-1% YoY), NPAT = VND 3,862 billion (+16% YoY), equivalent to EPS = VND 966/share. In 2021, BSC forecasts that GVR's revenue will reach VND 23,185 billion (+18% YoY), EAT = VND 3,683 billion (-4.6% YoY), equivalent to EPS = VND 921/share.
Investment thesis
Converting rubber land into industrial zones and residential projects is the main strategy of GVR. Projects include (1) 6,361 hectares of selfdeveloped andupcoming industrial parks, (2) 5,000 hectares of land intended to self-develop industrial zones from 2025 onwards and (3) more than 23,000 hectares of converted land for investors. other or infrastructure projects. GVR will record compensation for transferring rubber land into Long Thanh airport in November 2020, recording a profit of VND 1080 billion (21% of PBT)
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