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Macro Forecast

Vietnam Macro-economic Forecast 2025-2026

2024

GDP (%%)

7.09

CPI trung bình (%%)

3.63

Xuất khẩu (%%)

14.32

Nhập khẩu (%%)

16.67

Lãi suất điều hành (%%)

4.5

USD/VND trung bình

25,054

Kịch bản tiêu cực

2025

2026

6.8

6.3

4.5

4.5

7

7

7

7

5

5

26,056

26,619

Kịch bản tích cực

2025

2026

7.4

6.8

3.4

3.5

15

15

17

17

4.5

4.5

25,554

25,810

Consensus 2025

Nhỏ nhất

Trung bình

Lớn nhất

3.3

6

7

2.4

3.3

4

4.25

Consensus 2026

Nhỏ nhất

Trung bình

Lớn nhất

4.3

6

7

2

3.4

5.5

4.25

Strategy report

11/08/2023

BSC_Macro & Market July.2023_Business activities eased the weakening momentum_Vn-index increased positively_230811

93 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

20/07/2023

BSC_Macro & Market Q2.2023_GDP +4.14% YoY in Q2.2023_VN-Index VN-Index gained positively_230720

106 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

07/06/2023

BSC_Macro & Market May2023_Weak production and business activities_VN-Index approaches the threshold of 1,080 points_230607

111 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

10/05/2023

BSC_Macro & Market April 2023_Business production and operations weakened; VN-Index’s correction_230510

112 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

11/04/2023

BSC_Macro & Market March 2023_GDP in Q1 2023 +3.32% YoY_VN-Index has recovered from its low price range_The banking crisis in the United States and Europe_230411

168 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

13/03/2023

BSC_Macro & Market Febuary 2023_Production activities resumed after Tet VN-Index has recovered from its low-price level_230303

120 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

13/02/2023

BSC_Macro & Market January 2023_Consumption increased thanks to 2 holidays; VN-Index continued the recovering trend_230213

151 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

18/01/2023

BSC_Vietnam Macro Market Outlook 2023_EN_It's always darkest before the dawn_20230118

4798 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

06/12/2022

BSC_Macro & Market November 2022_Pressure on exchange rate cooled down - VN-Index recovered strongly_221206

166 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

08/11/2022

BSC_Macro & Market October 2022_Inflation increased significantly; VN-Index maintains its downtrend_221108

129 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

10/10/2022

BSC_Macro & Market Q3.2022_Q3.2022 GDP reached nearly 14%; VN-Index recorded a strong downtrend_221007

158 Number of Downloads

Strategy report

12/09/2022

BSC_Macro & Market August 2022_Positive macro – VN-Index recorded a strong uptrend_220912

178 Number of Downloads

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